Ukraine Invasion Day 1,574: “political codification of a battlefield reality”
Fibre Optic FPV Drone of the UAV Company “Black Widow”, 1st Special Purpose Battalion, 12th Special Purpose Brigade “Azov” north of Shakhove
@GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap ~48.486258, 37.329347
Key Takeaways > > Russian authorities and energy companies are increasingly restricting the sale of gasoline and diesel in Russia as Ukraine’s long-range strikes against Russian oil infrastructure cause shortages. > > * > > Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky continues to express willingness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin — an invitation the Kremlin continues to reject. > > * > > Russia reportedly has one remaining operational Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) left in its arsenal but will likely seek to manufacture more. > > * > > Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces recently advanced. > > * > > Russian forces launched two ballistic missiles and 132 drones against Ukraine overnight.
Russian forces conducted a series of long-range drone and missile strikes against Ukraine on the night of June 15 to 16. > > The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched two Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 132 Shahed-, Gerbera-, and Italmas-type strike drones, and Parodiya-type decoy drones from the directions of Oryol, Kursk, and Bryansk cities; Shatalovo, Smolensk Oblast; Millerovo, Rostov Oblast; and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai.[75] The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Ukrainian forces downed 114 drones, that the two Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 16 drones struck nine locations, and that debris fell on eight locations. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces struck civilian and residential infrastructure in Zaporizhia and Odesa oblasts.[76] The Ukrainian Energy Ministry reported that Russian strikes caused power outages in Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhia oblasts.[77]
Russia attacked Ukraine overnight with 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 132 Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas and Parodiya drones. Ukraine says 114 drones were shot down or suppressed, while missiles and 16 strike drones hit 9 locations
Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure on the night of June 15 to 16. > > The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces struck the Moscow Oil Refinery in Moscow City, damaging the ELOU AVT-6 primary oil processing unit on the night of June 15 to 16.[20] The Ukrainian General Staff noted that the refinery is responsible for over 38 percent of Moscow Oblast’s fuel consumption, particularly supplying aviation fuel to Domodedovo, Vnukovo, Sheremetyevo, and Zhukovsky airports, and has a refining capacity of over 12 million tons of oil per year. Geolocated footage published on June 16 shows fires and smoke rising from the Moscow Oil Refinery.[21] Russian officials acknowledged on June 16 that Ukrainian strikes damaged and caused fires at the refinery.[22] Two industry sources told Reuters on June 16 that the Ukrainian strikes forced the refinery to halt operations and damaged a primary refining facility that accounts for 53 percent of the refinery’s capacity.[23] Geolocated footage published on June 15 shows fires at a fuel depot in Poltavskaya, Krasnodar Krai (roughly 300 kilometers from the frontline) after a reported Ukrainian drone strike.[24] NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS) data for June 16 shows heat anomalies in Poltavskaya.[25] The Krasnodar Krai Operational Headquarters acknowledged on June 16 that a drone caused a fire at an oil depot in Poltavskaya.[26]
Ukrainian sources provided additional battle damage assessments (BDA) for recent Ukrainian strikes against Russian military and oil infrastructure. > > The Ukrainian General Staff reported on June 16 that it confirmed that Ukrainian forces struck the JSC Central Design Bureau of Instrument-Building in Tula Oblast, which produces radar systems and radio navigation equipment, at an unspecified date.[27] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that fires are still ongoing at the Temp Oil Depot in Rybinsk, Yaroslavl Oblast, after Ukrainian strikes against the depot on June 14.[28]
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine > > Operational Update as of 22:00 on June 16, 2026, regarding the Russian invasion > > In total, 182 combat engagements were recorded over the past 24 hours. The aggressor carried out 53 airstrikes using 163 guided bombs, deployed 6,759 kamikaze drones for attacks, and fired 2,029 rounds at the positions of our troops and populated areas. > > - In the Northern Slobozhanshchyna and Kursk sectors, the enemy did not conduct any offensive operations. At the same time, the occupiers carried out three airstrikes using six guided bombs and fired 43 times at the positions of our troops and populated areas. > - In the Southern Slobozhansky direction, the Defense Forces repelled three attacks by the invaders near the settlements of Hraniv, Izbytske, and Zybine. One firefight is still ongoing. > - In the Kupiansk direction, Ukrainian soldiers halted three enemy attempts to advance toward the settlements of Podoly and Borivska Andriivka. > - In the Lyman sector, eleven enemy attacks were recorded. Our defenders successfully repelled ten assaults near Zarichne, Andriivka, Drobyshove, Lyman, Dibrova, and in the Ozerny area. One engagement is ongoing. > - In the Sloviansk sector, the enemy attempted nine times to breach our defenses in the areas of Kaleniky, Zakitne, and toward the settlements of Kryva Luka, Mykolaivka, and Rai-Oleksandrivka. All attacks were repelled. > - In the Kramatorsk sector, one assault by the occupiers was recorded near the town of Chasiv Yar. > - In the Kostiantynivka sector, the occupiers carried out twelve attacks near the settlements of Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillia, and Illinivka, as well as in the direction of Kostiantynivka, Mykolaipillia, and Dovha Balka. > - In the Pokrovsk sector, 38 assault operations by the aggressor have been recorded since the start of the day. Ukrainian defenders have already repelled 37 attacks in the areas of Rodynske, Novooleksandrivka, Shevchenko, Kotlyne, Udachne, and toward Dorozhne, Vasylivka, Filiya, Novyi Shakhovyi, Vilne, Kucherove Yar, Bilytske, Nikanorivka, and Novyi Donbas. One firefight is ongoing. > > According to preliminary estimates, enemy losses in the Pokrovsk direction today amounted to 48 occupiers killed and 26 wounded. One tank, one artillery system, eight vehicles, and six pieces of specialized equipment were neutralized; two artillery systems, nine vehicles, and three drone control stations were damaged. Additionally, 318 drones of various types were destroyed or neutralized. > > - In the Oleksandrivka sector, the enemy launched two attacks in the Vorone area. > - In the Huliaipole sector, the occupiers carried out 24 attacks in the areas of the settlements of Solodke, Luhivske, Novoselivka, and toward Dobropillia, Vozdvyzhivka, Tsvitkove, and Charivne. Twenty-three assaults were repelled; one engagement is ongoing. > - In the Orikhiv sector, our defenders stopped one enemy attempt to advance in the area of the settlement of Mali Shcherbaky. > - The enemy showed no signs of activity today in the Dnipro sector. > > We are bringing our Victory closer! > > Glory to Ukraine!
Russian authorities and energy companies are increasingly restricting the sale of gasoline and diesel in Russia as Ukraine’s long-range strikes against Russian oil infrastructure cause shortages. > > Russian opposition outlet Verstka reported on June 16, citing the hotlines of Russian gas station operators, that Russian state oil company Rosneft, Republic of Bashkortostan-owned fuel company Bashneft, and Rosneft subsidiary TNK have banned the sale of gasoline in fuel canisters in all Russian federal subjects, citing “increased seasonal demand.”[1] Verstka reported that these gas station operators are also restricting fuel sales writ large, with some hotline operators advising customers to check restrictions at their local gas stations as they change daily, and other operators describing fuel sale limits at about 90 liters (23.7 gallons)per customer in unspecified regions of Russia. Russian news agency Interfax reported on June 16 that the Republic of Tatarstan-owned fuel company Tatneft introduced temporary limits on gasoline and diesel fuel sales at all its gas stations in Russia and is only accepting cash payment for gasoline and diesel.[2] Interfax reported that Tatneft gas stations in Chelyabinsk City are limiting sales of gasoline to 30 liters (7.9 gallons) per passenger car and limiting diesel sales to 60 liters (15.8 gallons) per passenger car and 300 liters (79.2 gallons) per truck. Russian sources reported that Tatneft had begun limiting sales of gasoline and diesel fuel in Moscow City, St. Petersburg, and Kazan as of June 12.[3] Radio Free Liberty/Radio Europe (RFE/RL) reported on June 16 that authorities and diesel companies, including Tatneft and its subsidiary TANECO, have imposed gasoline and diesel restrictions in Samara, Ulyanovsk, Orenburg, and Nizhny Novgorod oblasts and the republics of Tatarstan, Chuvashia, and Udmurtia.[4] These restrictions follow Ukraine’s strikes against the Republic of Tatarstan’s two largest oil refineries on the night of June 11 to 12, and at least one of the refineries reportedly halted operations following the strikes.[5] A Russian insider source claimed that central Russia, the Volga Federal Okrug, Siberia, and the Far East are increasingly suffering shortages of AI-92 and AI-95 gasoline.[6]
Russia will likely continue to struggle with fuel shortages writ large throughout the summer due to increased demand. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on June 16 that Ukrainian intermediate- to long-range strikes against 16 oil refineries in an unspecified time frame have reduced overall Russian refining capacity by 30 percent, that Russian oil production has fallen to around nine million barrels per day, and that Russian gasoline production has fallen to a 16-year low.[7] Russia reportedly recently extended its decision to allow some refineries to release substandard gasoline and diesel to the domestic market due to the ongoing shortages.[8] Ukraine’s intensified strike campaign against Russian refineries and Russian logistics since March 2026 has renewed shortages across occupied Ukraine and extended to some Russian regions.[9] Further Ukrainian strikes against Russian energy infrastructure will likely cause shortages to continue to spread across Russia and exacerbate existing shortages.[10]
