SATURDAY, JULY 25, 2026|No. 8793
News · US · Demographics

Virginia Population Growth Slows, Projected to Reach 9.5 Million by 2050

A new University of Virginia projection shows Virginia's population growing slowly from 8.9 million to 9.5 million by 2050, driven by low birth rates and an aging population.

A new population projection for Virginia suggests steady but slow growth through 2050.
A new population projection for Virginia suggests steady but slow growth through 2050.
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New projection: Virginia population is still growing, but at a sluggish pace

By Michael Pope Published July 22, 2026 at 4:46 AM EDT

Virginia currently has about 8.9 million people, and that population is projected to grow to 9.5 million by 2050. So that’s growth, but a sluggish pace compared to the Baby Boom that happened after World War II, which created an echo boom of millennials.

Here's the projection from the University of Virginia.

"The U.S. population is projected to continue growing, but at a slower pace," says Sol Baik, a senior researcher at the Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service.

"The speed of the population growth is slowing down, mainly due to the low birth rate and population aging."

"The Baby Boomer generation will all be over 65 by 2030, so that's why we still see some growth, but the growth rate reduces between 2030 to 2040," Baik says. "So, that's why the total population growth rate is declining over time."

One trend identified by the latest numbers: The South is capturing a growing share of the population, expanding from 38% in 2020 to 43% by 2050.

Editor's Note: July 21, 2026 at 4:35 PM EDT

The University of Virginia is a financial supporter of Radio IQ.

PAN's pipeline reviewed approximately 1 open sources for this article. No human editor reviewed this article before publication.

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